About the Project

A systemic disaster intelligence framework for interconnected regional risks

Project Vision

Beyond Epicenters aims to transform disaster risk assessment by moving beyond traditional epicenter-focused approaches and addressing the interconnected economic, social, and infrastructural impacts of disasters.

By combining advanced data analytics, remote sensing, and systemic risk modelling, the project seeks to strengthen disaster resilience, improve preparedness, and support more effective decision-making for complex disaster scenarios across different regions and hazards.

The methodology will be validated through seismic risk applications in Turkiye and Morocco, as well as tsunami risk assessments in Portugal.

Horizon Europe grant awarded for Beyond Epicenters

Call

HORIZON-MSCA-2025-SE-01

Type of Action

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-SE

Grant Number

101296660

Duration

48 months

Requested EU Contribution

EUR 1,422,840.00

Start Date

01 May 2026

Our Idea

Beyond Epicenters develops an innovative disaster intelligence framework capable of identifying cascading impacts and systemic vulnerabilities across interconnected regional systems. Instead of analysing disasters only through direct physical damage, the project integrates economic, social, infrastructural, and environmental interdependencies into a unified risk assessment methodology.

Key Innovations

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Dynamic disaster classification maps

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Multi-layered vulnerability modelling

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Identification of cascading and systemic risks

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Integration of socio-economic and infrastructural interdependencies

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Adaptable methodology across multiple disaster scenarios

Project Structure

WP1

Regional Interdependency Metrics Establishment

  • - Fieldwork and survey evaluations
  • - Comprehensive data collection
  • - Development of interdependency metrics

WP2

Regional Resilience Index Determination

  • - Infrastructure quality assessment
  • - Economic resilience analysis
  • - Population dynamics and social structures
  • - Healthcare system and emergency services analysis
  • - Preparedness and planning assessment
  • - Integration of infrastructure resilience into the Regional Resilience Index

WP3

Disaster Risk Mapping

  • - Data collection and integration
  • - Development of risk assessment metrics
  • - Creation of earthquake disaster risk maps

WP4

Innovative Disaster Management Methodology Creation

  • - Assessment of multi-dimensional data
  • - Development of systemic vulnerability mapping tools
  • - Methodology testing

WP5

Pilot Implementation and Methodology Validation

  • - Pilot testing in selected regions
  • - Optimization for decision support
  • - Stakeholder collaboration and feedback

WP6

Management

  • - Project management plan and consortium coordination framework
  • - Dissemination and communication plans
  • - Exploitation plan

Deliverables

D1.1 Standardized metrics and methodologies to evaluate interdependencies, systemic vulnerabilities, and resilience.

D2.1 Regional Resilience Index.

D3.1 High-resolution risk maps identifying areas of increased seismic hazard and vulnerability.

D4.1 Advanced methodology for real-time analysis of systemic vulnerabilities, critical risks, and recovery strategies.

D5.1 Refined methodology protocol based on real-world testing and stakeholder feedback.

D6.1 Data Management Plan.

D6.2 Plan for dissemination and exploitation including communication activities.

D6.3 1st Progress Report.

D6.4 Mid-Term Meeting.