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Beyond Epicenters
Assessing Earthquake Vulnerability Through Economic and Social Networks
Transforming disaster risk assessment by addressing interconnected economic, social, and infrastructural impacts of disasters.
About the Project
A systemic disaster intelligence framework for interconnected regional risks
Project Vision
Beyond Epicenters aims to transform disaster risk assessment by moving beyond traditional epicenter-focused approaches and addressing the interconnected economic, social, and infrastructural impacts of disasters.
By combining advanced data analytics, remote sensing, and systemic risk modelling, the project seeks to strengthen disaster resilience, improve preparedness, and support more effective decision-making for complex disaster scenarios across different regions and hazards.
The methodology will be validated through seismic risk applications in Turkiye and Morocco, as well as tsunami risk assessments in Portugal.
Call
HORIZON-MSCA-2025-SE-01
Type of Action
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-SE
Grant Number
101296660
Duration
48 months
Requested EU Contribution
EUR 1,422,840.00
Start Date
01 May 2026
Our Idea
Beyond Epicenters develops an innovative disaster intelligence framework capable of identifying cascading impacts and systemic vulnerabilities across interconnected regional systems. Instead of analysing disasters only through direct physical damage, the project integrates economic, social, infrastructural, and environmental interdependencies into a unified risk assessment methodology.
Key Innovations
Dynamic disaster classification maps
Multi-layered vulnerability modelling
Identification of cascading and systemic risks
Integration of socio-economic and infrastructural interdependencies
Adaptable methodology across multiple disaster scenarios
Project Structure
WP1
Regional Interdependency Metrics Establishment
- - Fieldwork and survey evaluations
- - Comprehensive data collection
- - Development of interdependency metrics
WP2
Regional Resilience Index Determination
- - Infrastructure quality assessment
- - Economic resilience analysis
- - Population dynamics and social structures
- - Healthcare system and emergency services analysis
- - Preparedness and planning assessment
- - Integration of infrastructure resilience into the Regional Resilience Index
WP3
Disaster Risk Mapping
- - Data collection and integration
- - Development of risk assessment metrics
- - Creation of earthquake disaster risk maps
WP4
Innovative Disaster Management Methodology Creation
- - Assessment of multi-dimensional data
- - Development of systemic vulnerability mapping tools
- - Methodology testing
WP5
Pilot Implementation and Methodology Validation
- - Pilot testing in selected regions
- - Optimization for decision support
- - Stakeholder collaboration and feedback
WP6
Management
- - Project management plan and consortium coordination framework
- - Dissemination and communication plans
- - Exploitation plan
Deliverables
D1.1 Standardized metrics and methodologies to evaluate interdependencies, systemic vulnerabilities, and resilience.
D2.1 Regional Resilience Index.
D3.1 High-resolution risk maps identifying areas of increased seismic hazard and vulnerability.
D4.1 Advanced methodology for real-time analysis of systemic vulnerabilities, critical risks, and recovery strategies.
D5.1 Refined methodology protocol based on real-world testing and stakeholder feedback.
D6.1 Data Management Plan.
D6.2 Plan for dissemination and exploitation including communication activities.
D6.3 1st Progress Report.
D6.4 Mid-Term Meeting.
The Consortium & Global Network
Universities and SMEs from Portugal, Germany, Norway, Turkiye, Ukraine, Morocco, and Azerbaijan
TEDU
PIC 954235658
TED University
Turkiye
AGU
PIC 947519960
Abdullah Gul University
Turkiye
ULusofona
PIC 997605425
COFAC Cooperativa de Formacao e Animacao Cultural CRL
Portugal
UHAM
PIC 999905101
University of Hamburg
Germany
UiB
PIC 999974456
Universitetet i Bergen
Norway
ECOMM
PIC 909149379
Limited Liability Company ECOMM CO
Ukraine
QUANTAG
PIC 902572294
Quantag IT Solutions GmbH
Germany
SETM
PIC 883928409
SETM Limited Liability Company
Azerbaijan
UCAM
PIC 998639930
Universite Cadi Ayyad
Morocco
Months Duration
Partner Organisations
Associated Countries
Countries